As a fiduciary, aren’t you creating a conflict of interest by managing this
fund and directing planning clients to it?
No, for several reasons.
First,
our investment management clients are charged the same flat rate for that
service as are investors in the Camelback Fund. Consequently, Foothills
Financial Planning has no financial incentive to choose the Camelback Fund over
competing investments. Additionally, for the typical financial planning client
we develop an asset allocation plan prior to selecting any specific investments.
The investments from Camelback Fund will only draw from a couple of asset
classes. By design, much of an investment plan we create will require investment
options that cannot be fulfilled via the Camelback Fund. Finally, and perhaps
most importantly, the Camelback Fund is a Spoke Fund®,
which means that a significant percentage of my family’s liquid assets are invested in the fund.
That can be considered a conflict, certainly, but I consider it a conflict that
an investor should welcome.
You’ve mentioned some of your criteria for buying a stock. What would cause you to sell a stock out of the portfolio?
There are several obvious cases that would cause us to sell. The easy one is that we’ll almost
certainly sell if a company suspends its dividend. That would cause the holding to unequivocally
violate our fundamental requirement for ownership. Similarly, we’d be very likely to sell if a
company cuts its dividend, as we’d consider that to be a very ominous sign. Another catalyst that
could go hand in hand with a negative dividend change would be a material breakdown in the business
case that motivated us to buy the company. This could mean that we simply were wrong and have finally
come around to that position, or that there was a material change. An example of such a change would
be BP’s recent oil spill troubles. Certainly, there are arguments for and against investing in BP over
the last few months; what is inarguable is that the financial picture for the company changed drastically
in a short period of time. That would clearly be cause for re-evaluation on our part.
The final reason that we would consider selling a significant position is a run up in the price of the stock.
This is a pretty standard consideration in straight value investing: if a stock is trading for considerably
more than one’s calculated intrinsic value, it may be time to pare down the position.
Many value investors bail out at
or even prior to the point when market prices match intrinsic value. We view things a bit differently in the
case of the Camelback Fund. If we’ve been able to buy a strong, dividend-paying company for a lot less than
its intrinsic value, and the market has subsequently recognized the mispricing and closed the gap, we’ll
probably hold on a bit longer than a strict value investor because we like fortified companies that pay a
healthy dividend. However, there comes a time when the prospect of a significant price decline and the
likelihood of more attractive investment opportunities make a sell decision obvious. An example of this is a
fertilizer company that dropped approximately 45% between March and June, when I bought it for myself and
earmarked it for the Camelback Fund. Before the fund launched, it had already gained back more than 50%,
and was right around intrinsic value. It consequently didn’t make it into the fund’s portfolio, but would
now be a candidate for sale if it had.
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